College Football Dogs Week 3

College Dogs This is the first week for BWELL's College system at the Fox Den. Overall Record is currently 64-27-3, 70.3%. I can vouch for that...I was following him last year toward the tail end of the year.. MJ

Indiana +3
Buffalo +4
Akron +3.5
Air Force +9.5
Kentucky +6.5
UConn +7.5
Ohio U +3.5
Ark St +19.5

Here is his explanation of how he does it....he has quite a following at the Fox Den forum. "This formula is called the South Carolina Factor, named for South Carolina's SU upset of Tennessee in Gainesville two years ago. South Carolina's point total was almost 3 points higher than UT"s, but they were more than a 2 TD dog. They won outright, and the rest as they say, is history. Add the visitors points for and the homers points allowed. add in the two teams turnover differential gap (for example if Notre Dame is the visitor and they have a -4, and Navy is the home team with a +5, you subtract 4.5 from Notre Dame's total and add 4.5 to Navy's) Add 3 for a home team, subtract 3 for a visitor (if applicable, bowl games do not count this unless the game is played in a team's backyard). Divide the entire number by 2, and compare for both teams. If the underdog has a higher point total than the favorite, you have a play. You have to have a team with a negative TO diff playing a team with a pos TO diff, two negs and two plusses will not work. An example using this week's games (NOT A PLAY JUST AN EXAMPLE!!!!!)Ohio St Vs WashingtonOhio ST PF=29Was Pts Ag=11Ohio ST TO Diff=-5(Wash TO Diff is plus 3, making it a gap of 8. Divide 8 by 2, and you get a total of 4, which you will subtract from Ohio St for having the Negative end and add to Wash for having the positive end) Subtract 3 points for being the visitorTotal of 29+11-4-3= 32 Divide the total of all sums by 2 giving you a grand total of=16Ohio St's Formula number is 16Wash PF= 33OSU's PA=4 Wash To Diff +3 (as stated earlier with this info you add 4 to wash total)Add 3 Points for being the home teamTotal of 33+4+4+3= 44Divide 44 by 2 and you get a grand total of=22OSU- 16Was-22 Spread is Wash +4, so therefore the play is Washinton Plus 4.PS I suck at Math, but the formula is fairly easy to do. It just sucks to explain."http://forums.statfox.com/forum/showthread...0&pagenumber=17