Friday, September 21, 2007

BlackBox Week 3 NFL Report

Here we go, week 3. Use the information at your own risk. I hope it helps people out. Some info can be used to handicap, some catagories could be played as wagers all year for an expected ATS advantage.
Its all an experiment ...so use it as you see fit.

I use Tuesday lines at Wagerline to determine ATS records.

Less than 20% Bet percentage Dogs. (4-3 ATS,Home Dogs 3-1 ATS)

Houston +6 Home
Jax +3
Atlanta +4 Home
Bears -3 Home

Turn over Ratio Contrarian Plays (2-1 ATS)

Miami +3 Bet on
Dallas +3 Bet against

Largest loss from the previous week. Bet on (0-1 ATS)
SD -4

On the road 2 or more weeks in a row. Bet against (1-2 ATS)SD DALLAS BUFFINDYMINNSFCINCY
Travel across 2 or more time zones. Bet against (1-1 ATS)
SD
CLEV
SF
CINCY

Large Point Differential Picks. Bet On (1-1 ATS)
SD -4
BUFF +17
GIANTS +4
NEW ORLEANS -4.5

Over Under Picks (3-2 ATS)
None

No comments: