Friday, October 19, 2007

BlackBox NFL Report Week 7

Blackbox NFL Report Week 7

Use the information at your own risk. I hope it helps people out. Some info can be used to handicap, some catagories could be played as wagers all year for an expected ATS advantage.

Its all an experiment ...so use it as you see fit.

There is a point differential, angle, or expected emotional reason quantified by scores and performance against the spread as the reason for all these picks. Its all based on something that in my opinion could be relevant to the outcoume of predicting ATS over time. We shall see.

I use Tuesday lines at Wagerline to determine ATS records.

Less than 20% Bet percentage Dogs. Bet On (11-12-1 ATS, Home Dogs 7-7-1 ATS)

Arizona +7.5
Buffalo +3 Home
San Fran +10
Denver +3.5 Home
Jax +3 Home

Turn over Ratio Contrarian Plays (5-6-2 ATS)

Arizona +7.5 Bet on
Balt -3 Bet against
Minnesota +9.5 Bet against
Chicago +5 Bet on
St Louis +9 Bet on


Largest loss from the previous week. Bet on (2-2ATS)

Dallas -9.5
Atlanta +7.5



On the road 2 or more weeks in a row. Bet against (9-5-3 ATS)

Tenn -1
New England -17
Minnesota +9.5
St. Louis +9


Travel across 2 or more time zones. Bet against (6-7-1 ATS)

San Fran +10

Largest Point Differential Picks. Bet On (2-2-1 ATS)

Atlanta +7.5
Miami +17


Over Under Picks (9-3 ATS)

San Fran/Giants Under 40

No comments: