BlackBox NFL Report Week 6

Blackbox NFL Report Week 6

Use the information at your own risk. I hope it helps people out. Some info can be used to handicap, some catagories could be played as wagers all year for an expected ATS advantage.

Its all an experiment ...so use it as you see fit.

There is a point differential, angle, or expected emotional reason quantified by scores and performance against the spread as the reason for all these picks. Its all based on something that in my opinion could be relevant to the outcoume of predicting ATS over time. We shall see.

I use Tuesday lines at Wagerline to determine ATS records.

Less than 20% Bet percentage Dogs. Bet On (10-9-1 ATS, Home Dogs 6-5-1 ATS)

KC +3 Home
Miami +4.5
Dallas +5 Home
Atlanta +3.5 Home


Turn over Ratio Contrarian Plays (3-4-1 ATS)

Clev -4.5 Bet on
Chigago -5.5 Bet against
Green Bay -3 Bet on
New England -5 Bet against
San Diego -10 Bet against



Largest loss from the previous week. Bet on (2-2ATS)

Denver on a bye...no play



On the road 2 or more weeks in a row. Bet against (8-4-3 ATS)

Miami +4.5
Carolina +4



Travel across 2 or more time zones. Bet against (6-5-1 ATS)

Carolina +4
New Orleans +7


Largest Point Differential Picks. Bet On (2-2 ATS)

Green Bay -3


Over Under Picks (8-3 ATS)

Oakland /SD Under 44.5

Good luck! There are some interesting trends and angles starting to show up. Use it to your advantage!